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A Madison crime analyst used factors from previous
similar bank robberies to successfully predict the time and location a robber
might attempt another robbery.

 According to a Madison Police Department release, an
analyst looked at the dollar amount taken in previous robberies, the types of
banks hit and the number of days between hits to identify 11 similar financial
institutions that could be potential targets.

 “People are patternable,” crime analyst Caleb Klebig
said. “I'm just really trying to hone in on the individual incident and then
looking at it from a broader standpoint and try and put the puzzle together.”

 Klebig listed five potential targets in Madison, three in
Fitchburg, one in Shorewood Hills and one in Middleton, officials said. He also
predicted the robber would hit another bank on Wednesday or Thursday from 2-7

 Based on the information MPD sent out to officers and
surrounding departments, several units stepped up patrols around the possible
targets, according to the release.

 Around 2:40 p.m. on Wednesday Middleton police detectives
noticed a suspicious person wearing a partial face mask and carrying a backpack
enter the Guaranty Bank inside Copps grocery store at 6800 Century Ave., which
was the predicted Middleton location.

 When the man exited the bank he was confronted by
detectives, according to the release. The man fled to the back of the shopping
center where he was arrested at gunpoint.


Shortly after that, the Middleton Police Dispatch Center
received a holdup alarm from the bank, and investigators verified the bank had
just been robbed by a masked man, officials said.

 "Especially with limited manpower, to be able to
know the specific times that something might occur is very beneficial to us,
and obviously paid off for everybody yesterday," Sgt. Troy Hellenbrand,
with the Middleton Police Department, said. "I think we were all kind of
amazed that the date, time and location that were predicted actually did come


Klebig said while the computer software has come a long
way and can help narrow down the time and place a future crime might occur,
there needs to be someone analyzing that information.

 “It’s a tool that law enforcement is able to utilize as a
means to police more efficiently and effectively,” Klebig said.

 No one was injured during the Wednesday incident, and the
robber, Scottie T. Patterson, 28, of Madison, was not armed, according to the

 Patterson confessed to the Middleton robbery and three
other robberies in Madison; the robbery of an Associated Bank branch on South
Whitney Way on Feb. 26, the robbery of an Associated Bank branch on McKee Road
on Feb. 20, and another one at the Associated Bank branch on Whitney Way on
Dec. 13. Patterson told police he needed the money for heroin.

 Patterson was arrested by Middleton police on tentative
charges of robbery and on an outstanding warrant. He also faces tentative
charges of three counts of robbery in Madison.

Madison crime analyst predicts bank robbery Thursday, March 6 2014, 10:12 PM CST

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